[lug] CANCELLED: Boulder Linux User's Group - March Meeting - Boulder Linux Users Group - Mar 12, 2020

duboulder blug-mail at duboulder.com
Tue Mar 17 01:48:10 MDT 2020


See https://arstechnica.com/science/2020/03/dont-panic-the-comprehensive-ars-technica-guide-to-the-coronavirus/ for more information about the age related fatality rates and results from a report by WHO and China.

See the chart in 'Who is most at risk of getting critically ill and dying?'.
Looks like the fatality rate is about 4% for ages 60-69, 8% for 70-79, 15% 80+ 1%.

Later in the article:

'Though the case fatality rate is not yet clear for COVID-19 (as noted above), it so far appears to be significantly higher than the CFRs seen from seasonal flu in the US.'

Another issue is whether the health care system would collapse if there was a short-term spike in serious cases vs. a more extended period for them to be handled.

‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ Original Message ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐
On Monday, March 16, 2020 7:21 PM, Bucky Carr <bcarr at purgatoire.org> wrote:

> On 3/16/2020 7:16 PM, Rob Nagler wrote:
>
>> The CDC estimates the mortality risk of COVID-19 between [0.25%–3.0%](https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/6/20-0320_article). For "flu" mortality risk is [about .1%](https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html).
>
> I'll wade in, too. The mortality stats vary based on age. So it isn't just personal mortality risk to be considered, but the mortality of someone for whom one acts as a vector.
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